Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Grebbestad to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrebbestad to win ✓63% · @1.68
Double chanceGrebbestad or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF preview and prediction
The match
Grebbestad host Vänersborgs IF in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Grebbestad are 5th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Vänersborgs IF sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grebbestad's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat IFK Skövde 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Vänersborgs IF's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Herrestads 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Grebbestad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Grebbestad and 1.1 for Vänersborgs IF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grebbestad 63%, draw 23%, Vänersborgs IF 14%.
Safer route: Grebbestad or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grebbestad to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Grebbestad 2–1 Vänersborgs IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grebbestad63%fair 1.58 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.80
Vänersborgs IF14%fair 7.15 · @4.10
3.39Expected goals
2.32Grebbestad xG
1.07Vänersborgs IF xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Grebbestad 2.3 – 1.1 Vänersborgs IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grebbestad to win✓
63%
1.58
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Grebbestad or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Half-time result
Grebbestad ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grebbestad / FT Grebbestad✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Grebbestad – last 6
WLWWWL
12 Jun
@ IFK Skövde
4–0
W
5 Jun
vs Husqvarna
1–2
L
29 May
@ Vänersborgs FK
3–2
W
23 May
vs Motala
2–0
W
14 May
@ Lidköping
3–1
W
9 May
vs Ahlafors
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vänersborgs IF – last 6
DLLLLW
15 Jun
vs Herrestads
2–2
D
4 Jun
@ Stenungsund
0–5
L
31 May
@ Motala
0–2
L
22 May
vs Husqvarna
0–4
L
8 May
vs Lidköping
0–1
L
1 May
@ Vänersborgs FK
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grebbestad and Vänersborgs IF.
What is the prediction for Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
Our pick is Grebbestad to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
On our numbers Grebbestad have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vänersborgs IF 14%.
How many goals will there be in Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
Our predicted score is Grebbestad 2–1 Vänersborgs IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
