Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Herrestads to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHerrestads to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.83
Kumla vs Herrestads preview and prediction
The match
Kumla host Herrestads in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Kumla are 10th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Herrestads sit 7th on 37 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Kumla's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to IFK Skövde 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Herrestads's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Ahlafors 0–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Kumla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Kumla and 1.8 for Herrestads. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kumla 32%, draw 19%, Herrestads 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Herrestads to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Kumla 1–1 Herrestads. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kumla32%fair 3.16 · @2.65
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.65
Herrestads49%fair 2.05 · @2.25
3.23Expected goals
1.41Kumla xG
1.82Herrestads xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Kumla 1.4 – 1.8 Herrestads expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Herrestads to win✓
49%
2.05
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Herrestads / FT Herrestads✓
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.83
–
Form
Kumla – last 6
LLLWWW
22 May
@ IFK Skövde
1–2
L
14 May
vs Skara
0–2
L
1 May
@ Husqvarna
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Lidköping
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Grebbestad
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Vänersborgs IF
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Herrestads – last 5
LWDDL
13 May
@ Ahlafors
0–5
L
8 May
vs Stenungsund
4–1
W
1 May
@ Tord
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ IF Karlstad II
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Husqvarna
1–3
L
1.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kumla and Herrestads.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Kumla vs Herrestads?
On our numbers Kumla have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Herrestads 49%.
How many goals will there be in Kumla vs Herrestads?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kumla vs Herrestads?
Our predicted score is Kumla 1–1 Herrestads, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kumla vs Herrestads?
Kumla vs Herrestads (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
