Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 3.80 – our chance 55% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +109%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAhlafors to win ✓55% · @3.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.72
Tord vs Ahlafors preview and prediction
The match
Tord host Ahlafors in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Tord are 12th with 22 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Ahlafors sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tord's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Skara 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ahlafors's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat IF Karlstad II 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Ahlafors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.4 for Tord and 2.0 for Ahlafors. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tord 30%, draw 15%, Ahlafors 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Ahlafors to win at 3.80 – 55% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Tord 1–2 Ahlafors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tord30%fair 3.35 · @1.73
Draw15%fair 6.59 · @3.85
Ahlafors55%fair 1.82 · @3.80
3.42Expected goals
1.41Tord xG
2.02Ahlafors xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
2–27%
2–16%
From our goals model: Tord 1.4 – 2.0 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✓
55%
1.82
3.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Half-time result
Ahlafors ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✓
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.72
–
Form
Tord – last 6
LDDDDD
21 May
vs Skara
1–2
L
10 May
vs Vänersborgs FK
2–2
D
1 May
vs Herrestads
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Motala
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Vänersborgs IF
3–3
D
29 Mar
@ Stenungsund
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ahlafors – last 6
WWWLLD
23 May
@ IF Karlstad II
4–1
W
13 May
vs Herrestads
5–0
W
9 May
@ Grebbestad
2–0
W
1 May
vs IFK Skövde
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Motala
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Vänersborgs FK
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tord and Ahlafors.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Tord vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers Tord have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ahlafors 55%.
How many goals will there be in Tord vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tord vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is Tord 1–2 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tord vs Ahlafors?
Tord vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
