Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.52Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotala to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Grebbestad vs Motala preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Norra Götaland sees Grebbestad take on Motala on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Grebbestad are 5th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Motala sit 11th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grebbestad's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Lidköping 3–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Motala's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Stenungsund 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Motala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Grebbestad and 1.5 for Motala. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: Grebbestad 1–1 Motala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grebbestad38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.35
Motala39%fair 2.56 · @2.38
3.06Expected goals
1.52Grebbestad xG
1.54Motala xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Grebbestad 1.5 – 1.5 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motala to win✗
39%
2.56
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.52
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motala / FT Motala✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
Grebbestad – last 6
WLLLLD
14 May
@ Lidköping
3–1
W
9 May
vs Ahlafors
0–2
L
1 May
@ Skara
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Stenungsund
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Kumla
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs IF Karlstad II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Motala – last 6
DLWWLD
17 May
@ Stenungsund
1–1
D
9 May
vs IFK Skövde
0–4
L
1 May
@ Lidköping
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ahlafors
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Husqvarna
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Tord
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grebbestad and Motala.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Grebbestad vs Motala?
On our numbers Grebbestad have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motala 39%.
How many goals will there be in Grebbestad vs Motala?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grebbestad vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Grebbestad 1–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Grebbestad vs Motala?
Grebbestad vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
