Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 2.44 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAhlafors to win ✓44% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors preview and prediction
The match
Ahlafors travel to face IF Karlstad II in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Saturday 23 May (12:00 WAT). IF Karlstad II are 13th with 16 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Ahlafors sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IF Karlstad II's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Stenungsund 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ahlafors's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Herrestads 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Ahlafors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for IF Karlstad II and 1.7 for Ahlafors. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: IF Karlstad II 35%, draw 20%, Ahlafors 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Ahlafors to win at 2.44 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: IF Karlstad II 1–1 Ahlafors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IF Karlstad II35%fair 2.85 · @2.43
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.44
Ahlafors44%fair 2.25 · @2.44
3.25Expected goals
1.52IF Karlstad II xG
1.74Ahlafors xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: IF Karlstad II 1.5 – 1.7 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✓
44%
2.25
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.59
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
IF Karlstad II – last 4
LLDD
3 May
@ Stenungsund
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Skara
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Herrestads
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Grebbestad
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ahlafors – last 6
WWLLDL
13 May
vs Herrestads
5–0
W
9 May
@ Grebbestad
2–0
W
1 May
vs IFK Skövde
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Motala
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Vänersborgs FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Husqvarna
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IF Karlstad II and Ahlafors.
What is the prediction for IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers IF Karlstad II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ahlafors 44%.
How many goals will there be in IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is IF Karlstad II 1–1 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
