Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: El Mokawloon to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMasr to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Masr vs El Mokawloon preview and prediction
The match
Masr host El Mokawloon in the League Cup on Thursday 26 March, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Cairo Military Academy Stadium.
Form guide
Masr's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat El Geish 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Mokawloon's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Al Ahly 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Masr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Masr and 1.0 for El Mokawloon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Masr 40%, draw 27%, El Mokawloon 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: El Mokawloon to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Masr 1–0 El Mokawloon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Masr40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.75
El Mokawloon33%fair 2.99 · @3.40
2.06Expected goals
1.09Masr xG
0.97El Mokawloon xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Masr 1.1 – 1.0 El Mokawloon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Masr to win✗
40%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Masr / FT Masr✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.20
–
Form
Masr – last 5
WDWLD
22 Mar
vs El Geish
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ El Geish
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Future FC
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Zamalek SC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Ghazl El Mehalla
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
El Mokawloon – last 3
LDD
5 Mar
vs Al Ahly
1–3
L
23 Feb
@ El Gouna FC
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs AL Masry
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Masr and El Mokawloon.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Masr vs El Mokawloon?
On our numbers Masr have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Mokawloon 33%.
How many goals will there be in Masr vs El Mokawloon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Masr vs El Mokawloon?
Our predicted score is Masr 1–0 El Mokawloon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Masr vs El Mokawloon?
Masr vs El Mokawloon (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo Military Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Gouna FC0
AL Masry2