Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: El Gouna FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAL Masry to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.81
El Gouna FC vs AL Masry preview and prediction
The match
El Gouna FC host AL Masry in the League Cup on Thursday 26 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Cairo International Stadium.
Form guide
El Gouna FC's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Wadi Degla 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AL Masry's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to El Gouna FC 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AL Masry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished El Gouna FC 1–0 AL Masry.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for El Gouna FC and 1.1 for AL Masry. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Gouna FC 34%, draw 24%, AL Masry 43%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.55.
Value angle: El Gouna FC to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: El Gouna FC 0–1 AL Masry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Gouna FC34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
AL Masry43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
2.00Expected goals
0.91El Gouna FC xG
1.08AL Masry xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Gouna FC 0.9 – 1.1 AL Masry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Gouna FC vs AL Masry?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs AL Masry?
On our numbers El Gouna FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AL Masry 43%.
How many goals will there be in El Gouna FC vs AL Masry?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Gouna FC vs AL Masry?
Our predicted score is El Gouna FC 0–1 AL Masry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Gouna FC vs AL Masry?
El Gouna FC vs AL Masry (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.