Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHwaseong to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.21
Hwaseong vs Cheongju preview and prediction
The match
Cheongju travel to Hwaseong Stadium in the K League 2 on Saturday 29 August (11:30 WAT) to face Hwaseong. Hwaseong are 6th with 48 points from 31 games (in the top half), while Cheongju sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hwaseong's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Jeonnam Dragons 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cheongju's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Gyeongnam FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hwaseong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Cheongju 2–3 Hwaseong.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Hwaseong and 0.9 for Cheongju. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Hwaseong to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hwaseong or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hwaseong 1–0 Cheongju. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hwaseong59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.45
Cheongju18%fair 5.61 · @3.80
2.70Expected goals
1.81Hwaseong xG
0.89Cheongju xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.8 – 0.9 Cheongju expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Hwaseong or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Cheongju?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cheongju 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Cheongju?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Cheongju?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–0 Cheongju, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Cheongju?
Hwaseong vs Cheongju (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.