Value bet: Paju Citizen to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGyeongnam FC to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen preview and prediction
The match
Paju Citizen travel to Changwon Football Centre Stadium in the K League 2 on Saturday 29 August (11:30 WAT) to face Gyeongnam FC. Gyeongnam FC are 9th with 38 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Paju Citizen sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gyeongnam FC's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Cheongju 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Paju Citizen's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Seoul E-Land FC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Paju Citizen 2–3 Gyeongnam FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Gyeongnam FC and 1.1 for Paju Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gyeongnam FC 44%, draw 22%, Paju Citizen 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Paju Citizen to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Gyeongnam FC 1–1 Paju Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gyeongnam FC44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Paju Citizen34%fair 2.97 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.36Gyeongnam FC xG
1.14Paju Citizen xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gyeongnam FC 1.4 – 1.1 Paju Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
On our numbers Gyeongnam FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paju Citizen 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
Our predicted score is Gyeongnam FC 1–1 Paju Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
Gyeongnam FC vs Paju Citizen (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Changwon Football Centre Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
