Busan I Park travel to Hwaseong Stadium in the K League 2 on Sunday 17 May (08:30 WAT) to face Hwaseong. Hwaseong are 6th with 48 points from 31 games (in the top half), while Busan I Park sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hwaseong's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Suwon City FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Busan I Park's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Cheonan City 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Busan I Park arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Hwaseong and 1.4 for Busan I Park. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hwaseong 32%, draw 22%, Busan I Park 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hwaseong 1–1 Busan I Park. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hwaseong32%fair 3.08 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Busan I Park45%fair 2.22 · @2.20
2.51Expected goals
1.12Hwaseong xG
1.39Busan I Park xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.1 – 1.4 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✗
45%
2.22
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Hwaseong – last 6
DWWDWL
9 May
vs Suwon City FC
1–1
D
3 May
vs Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Seoul E-Land FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gimpo Citizen
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Seongnam FC
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 6
WWWWWW
10 May
vs Cheonan City
1–0
W
3 May
@ Gimhae City
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Suwon City FC
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Yongin City
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Gyeongnam FC
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Cheongju
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Busan I Park 45%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–1 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Hwaseong vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
