Value bet: Daegu FC to win @ 1.64 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDaegu FC to win ✓65% · @1.64
Double chanceDaegu FC or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Gimhae City vs Daegu FC preview and prediction
The match
The K League 2 sees Gimhae City take on Daegu FC on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at Gimhae Sports Complex. Gimhae City are 17th with 18 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Daegu FC sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimhae City's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Gyeongnam FC 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Daegu FC's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Suwon Bluewings 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Daegu FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Gimhae City and 2.2 for Daegu FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimhae City 11%, draw 25%, Daegu FC 65%.
Safer route: Daegu FC or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Daegu FC to win at 1.64 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gimhae City 0–2 Daegu FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimhae City11%fair 9.37 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.80
Daegu FC65%fair 1.55 · @1.64
3.02Expected goals
0.85Gimhae City xG
2.17Daegu FC xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Gimhae City 0.9 – 2.2 Daegu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Daegu FC to win✓
65%
1.55
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Daegu FC or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Half-time result
Daegu FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Daegu FC / FT Daegu FC✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Gimhae City – last 6
LLLDDL
10 May
@ Gyeongnam FC
1–2
L
3 May
vs Busan I Park
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Yongin City
1–4
L
18 Apr
@ Cheongju
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Asan Mugunghwa
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Paju Citizen
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Daegu FC – last 6
DWLDDL
9 May
@ Suwon Bluewings
0–0
D
3 May
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–0
W
18 Apr
vs Cheonan City
1–2
L
11 Apr
@ Suwon City FC
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Gimpo Citizen
3–3
D
29 Mar
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimhae City and Daegu FC.
What is the prediction for Gimhae City vs Daegu FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimhae City vs Daegu FC?
On our numbers Gimhae City have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Daegu FC 65%.
How many goals will there be in Gimhae City vs Daegu FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimhae City vs Daegu FC?
Our predicted score is Gimhae City 0–2 Daegu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gimhae City vs Daegu FC?
Gimhae City vs Daegu FC (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimhae Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
