Paju Citizen host Cheongju in the K League 2 on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Paju Stadium. Paju Citizen are 10th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Cheongju sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paju Citizen's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Gyeongnam FC 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cheongju's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Asan Mugunghwa 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Paju Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Paju Citizen and 1.2 for Cheongju. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Paju Citizen 1–1 Cheongju. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paju Citizen45%fair 2.24 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Cheongju33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
2.66Expected goals
1.46Paju Citizen xG
1.20Cheongju xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.5 – 1.2 Cheongju expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paju Citizen to win✗
45%
2.24
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paju Citizen / FT Paju Citizen✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.81
–
Form
Paju Citizen – last 6
LWLWLW
25 Apr
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seongnam FC
1–0
W
11 Apr
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Gimhae City
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Suwon City FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cheongju – last 6
DDDDLD
26 Apr
vs Asan Mugunghwa
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Gimhae City
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Cheonan City
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Suwon Bluewings
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Busan I Park
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Ansan Greeners
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Cheongju.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cheongju 33%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Cheongju, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
Paju Citizen vs Cheongju (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
