Gimhae City vs Busan I Park preview and prediction
The match
The K League 2 sees Gimhae City take on Busan I Park on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at Gimhae Sports Complex. Gimhae City are 17th with 18 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Busan I Park sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimhae City's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Yongin City 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Busan I Park's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Suwon City FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Busan I Park arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Gimhae City and 2.1 for Busan I Park. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimhae City 16%, draw 19%, Busan I Park 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gimhae City 0–2 Busan I Park. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimhae City16%fair 6.10 · @5.40
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.75
Busan I Park65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
3.05Expected goals
0.94Gimhae City xG
2.11Busan I Park xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Gimhae City 0.9 – 2.1 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✓
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Busan I Park or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Half-time result
Busan I Park ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.48
–
Form
Gimhae City – last 6
LDDLLL
26 Apr
@ Yongin City
1–4
L
18 Apr
@ Cheongju
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Asan Mugunghwa
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Paju Citizen
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Suwon City FC
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 6
WWWWWW
18 Apr
vs Suwon City FC
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Yongin City
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Gyeongnam FC
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Cheongju
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Daegu FC
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimhae City and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Gimhae City have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Busan I Park 65%.
How many goals will there be in Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Gimhae City 0–2 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
Gimhae City vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimhae Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
