Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHwaseong to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Hwaseong vs Yongin City preview and prediction
The match
Hwaseong host Yongin City in the K League 2 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Hwaseong Stadium. Hwaseong are 6th with 48 points from 31 games (in the top half), while Yongin City sit 12th on 33 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hwaseong's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Cheonan City 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Yongin City's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Gimpo Citizen 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Hwaseong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Hwaseong and 0.8 for Yongin City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hwaseong 65%, draw 23%, Yongin City 12%.
Safer route: Hwaseong or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Hwaseong to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Hwaseong 2–0 Yongin City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hwaseong65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.45
Yongin City12%fair 8.37 · @4.60
2.88Expected goals
2.07Hwaseong xG
0.81Yongin City xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 2.1 – 0.8 Yongin City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hwaseong to win✗
65%
1.54
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Hwaseong or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Half-time result
Hwaseong ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.33
–
Form
Hwaseong – last 3
DWL
15 Mar
vs Cheonan City
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Gimhae City
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Daegu FC
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yongin City – last 3
LLD
14 Mar
vs Gimpo Citizen
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Suwon City FC
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Cheonan City
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Yongin City.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Yongin City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Yongin City?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yongin City 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Yongin City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Yongin City?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 2–0 Yongin City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Yongin City?
Hwaseong vs Yongin City (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
