Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Daegu FC to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDaegu FC to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Busan I Park vs Daegu FC preview and prediction
The match
Daegu FC travel to Busan Gudeok Stadium in the K League 2 on Sunday 22 March (06:00 WAT) to face Busan I Park. Busan I Park are 5th with 48 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Daegu FC sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Busan I Park's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Seoul E-Land FC 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Daegu FC's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Asan Mugunghwa 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Daegu FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Busan I Park and 1.7 for Daegu FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Busan I Park 35%, draw 24%, Daegu FC 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Daegu FC to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Busan I Park 1–1 Daegu FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan I Park35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Daegu FC41%fair 2.46 · @2.65
3.27Expected goals
1.57Busan I Park xG
1.70Daegu FC xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Busan I Park 1.6 – 1.7 Daegu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Daegu FC to win✗
41%
2.46
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Daegu FC / FT Daegu FC✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Busan I Park – last 3
WWD
14 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs Seongnam FC
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Daegu FC – last 3
WWW
15 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
3–2
W
7 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
4–2
W
1 Mar
vs Hwaseong
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan I Park and Daegu FC.
What is the prediction for Busan I Park vs Daegu FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Daegu FC?
On our numbers Busan I Park have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Daegu FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Busan I Park vs Daegu FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan I Park vs Daegu FC?
Our predicted score is Busan I Park 1–1 Daegu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Busan I Park vs Daegu FC?
Busan I Park vs Daegu FC (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
