Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Spaeri vs Gagra preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Spaeri take on Gagra on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Spaeri Stadium. Spaeri are 8th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Gagra sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spaeri's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tbilisi 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Gagra's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Batumi 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 August 2026, finished Gagra 1–1 Spaeri. Across their last 3 meetings Spaeri have won 2, Gagra 0, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Spaeri and 1.2 for Gagra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spaeri 50%, draw 20%, Gagra 30%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Spaeri 2–1 Gagra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spaeri50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Gagra30%fair 3.34 · @3.00
2.76Expected goals
1.60Spaeri xG
1.16Gagra xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spaeri 1.6 – 1.2 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Spaeri vs Gagra?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gagra 30%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 2–1 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Gagra?
Spaeri vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
