Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · David Petriashvili StadiumRustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rustavi 1.2 – 1.3 Dinamo Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rustavi and Dinamo Tbilisi on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rustavi have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Dinamo Tbilisi have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Rustavi, 1.3 for Dinamo Tbilisi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Rustavi have won 1, Dinamo Tbilisi have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.86.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dinamo Tbilisi to win ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi ✓ | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.47 | – |
Form
Rustavi – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Torpedo Kutaisi | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Dila | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Samtredia | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs FC Iberia 1999 | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Meshakhte | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Spaeri | 1–1 | D |
Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Spaeri | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Dinamo Batumi | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ FC Iberia 1999 | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Samgurali | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Gagra | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs Meshakhte | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 15 Aug 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi v Rustavi | 0–3 |
| 11 May 2026 | Rustavi v Dinamo Tbilisi | 2–3 |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi v Rustavi | 0–0 |
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Batumi | 32 | +16 | 59 |
| 2 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 32 | +13 | 59 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Tbilisi | 32 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |  Rustavi | 32 | +12 | 56 |
| 5 |  Torpedo Kutaisi | 32 | +9 | 43 |
| 6 |  Dila | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 |  Samgurali | 32 | -14 | 39 |
| 8 |  Spaeri | 32 | -10 | 31 |
| 9 |  Gagra | 32 | -18 | 31 |
| 10 |  Meshakhte | 32 | -28 | 20 |
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Tbilisi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.