Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGagra to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceGagra or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.62
Gagra vs Meshakhte preview and prediction
The match
Meshakhte travel to Mtskheta Park in the Erovnuli Liga on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT) to face Gagra. Gagra are 9th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Meshakhte sit 10th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Gagra's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tbilisi 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Meshakhte's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Rustavi 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 June 2026, finished Meshakhte 1–1 Gagra. Across their last 2 meetings Gagra have won 0, Meshakhte 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Gagra and 0.7 for Meshakhte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gagra 64%, draw 24%, Meshakhte 12%.
Safer route: Gagra or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gagra to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gagra 1–0 Meshakhte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gagra64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Meshakhte12%fair 8.16 · @4.00
2.49Expected goals
1.81Gagra xG
0.67Meshakhte xG
41%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gagra 1.8 – 0.7 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Gagra to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Gagra vs Meshakhte?
On our numbers Gagra have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Meshakhte 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Meshakhte?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Our predicted score is Gagra 1–0 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Gagra vs Meshakhte (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mtskheta Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
