Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali preview and prediction
The match
Samgurali travel to Stadion Ramaz Shengelia in the Erovnuli Liga on Tuesday 21 April (18:00 WAT) to face Torpedo Kutaisi. Torpedo Kutaisi are 5th with 43 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Samgurali sit 7th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Torpedo Kutaisi's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Gagra 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samgurali's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Dila 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Torpedo Kutaisi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.7 for Samgurali. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Torpedo Kutaisi to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Kutaisi57%fair 1.74 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.00
Samgurali22%fair 4.50 · @3.90
2.00Expected goals
1.34Torpedo Kutaisi xG
0.66Samgurali xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Torpedo Kutaisi 1.3 – 0.7 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Kutaisi to win✓
57%
1.74
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Kutaisi / FT Torpedo Kutaisi✓
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.50
–
Form
Torpedo Kutaisi – last 6
DDWLWW
17 Apr
@ Gagra
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Meshakhte
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Dila
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Saburtalo
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Ayia Napa
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Samgurali – last 6
LLWLDD
17 Apr
vs Dila
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Saburtalo
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Rustavi
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Spaeri
1–4
L
12 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Torpedo Kutaisi to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Torpedo Kutaisi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Samgurali 22%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
