Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceDinamo Tbilisi or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra preview and prediction
The match
Gagra travel to Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in the Erovnuli Liga on Tuesday 21 April (16:00 WAT) to face Dinamo Tbilisi. Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd with 58 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Gagra sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dinamo Tbilisi's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Meshakhte 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gagra's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Torpedo Kutaisi 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.5 for Gagra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Dinamo Tbilisi to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Gagra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Tbilisi67%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.25
Gagra12%fair 8.11 · @5.00
2.14Expected goals
1.64Dinamo Tbilisi xG
0.50Gagra xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.6 – 0.5 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Tbilisi to win✗
67%
1.48
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.17
–
Form
Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6
DDLDDD
17 Apr
vs Meshakhte
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Dila
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Saburtalo
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Rustavi
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Navbahor
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gagra – last 6
DDLWLL
17 Apr
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Dila
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Saburtalo
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Rustavi
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Spaeri
0–3
L
2 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Tbilisi and Gagra.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Our pick is Dinamo Tbilisi to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
On our numbers Dinamo Tbilisi have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gagra 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
