Value bet: Rustavi to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRustavi to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.42
Meshakhte vs Rustavi preview and prediction
The match
Meshakhte host Rustavi in the Erovnuli Liga on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Agrano Vachadze Stadium. Meshakhte are 10th with 20 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Rustavi sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Meshakhte's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rustavi's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Dinamo Batumi 3–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Meshakhte and 0.9 for Rustavi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Value angle: Rustavi to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Meshakhte 1–1 Rustavi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Meshakhte36%fair 2.74 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Rustavi38%fair 2.62 · @2.80
1.79Expected goals
0.88Meshakhte xG
0.91Rustavi xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Meshakhte 0.9 – 0.9 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rustavi to win✗
38%
2.62
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
16.42
–
Form
Meshakhte – last 6
DDLDWD
17 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Spaeri
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Dila
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rustavi – last 5
WLLDL
7 Apr
vs Dinamo Batumi
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Samgurali
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Gagra
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Meshakhte and Rustavi.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Meshakhte have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rustavi 38%.
How many goals will there be in Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Meshakhte 1–1 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
Meshakhte vs Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Agrano Vachadze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
