Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaburtalo to win ✓60% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Spaeri vs Saburtalo preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Spaeri take on Saburtalo on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Spaeri Stadium. Spaeri are 8th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Saburtalo sit 2nd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spaeri's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Meshakhte 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Saburtalo's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Samgurali 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Spaeri and 1.7 for Saburtalo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spaeri 21%, draw 20%, Saburtalo 60%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saburtalo to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Spaeri 0–1 Saburtalo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spaeri21%fair 4.85 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Saburtalo60%fair 1.67 · @1.65
2.53Expected goals
0.84Spaeri xG
1.69Saburtalo xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Spaeri 0.8 – 1.7 Saburtalo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo to win✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo / FT Saburtalo✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Spaeri – last 6
DLWWWW
7 Apr
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Dinamo Batumi
1–4
L
16 Mar
vs Samgurali
4–1
W
11 Mar
@ Gagra
3–0
W
17 Feb
@ Pakhtakor
4–3
W
17 Feb
@ Lokomotiv
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Saburtalo – last 5
WWDLW
7 Apr
vs Samgurali
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Gagra
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dila
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spaeri and Saburtalo.
Our pick is Saburtalo to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Spaeri vs Saburtalo?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Saburtalo 60%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Saburtalo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Saburtalo?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 0–1 Saburtalo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Saburtalo?
Spaeri vs Saburtalo (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
