Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaburtalo to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceSaburtalo or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.19
Gagra vs Saburtalo preview and prediction
The match
Gagra host Saburtalo in the Erovnuli Liga on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at David Petriashvili Stadium. Gagra are 9th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Saburtalo sit 2nd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gagra's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Rustavi 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Saburtalo's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Tbilisi 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Gagra and 1.5 for Saburtalo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gagra 16%, draw 22%, Saburtalo 62%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saburtalo to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Gagra 0–1 Saburtalo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gagra16%fair 6.30 · @4.75
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Saburtalo62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
2.04Expected goals
0.56Gagra xG
1.49Saburtalo xG
40%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–214%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Gagra 0.6 – 1.5 Saburtalo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Saburtalo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo / FT Saburtalo✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.19
–
Form
Gagra – last 4
WLLD
15 Mar
@ Rustavi
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Spaeri
0–3
L
2 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Bunyodkor
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Saburtalo – last 3
DLW
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dila
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Saburtalo.
Our pick is Saburtalo to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Gagra vs Saburtalo?
On our numbers Gagra have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Saburtalo 62%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Saburtalo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Our predicted score is Gagra 0–1 Saburtalo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Gagra vs Saburtalo (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
