GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints preview and prediction
The match
The New Saints travel to Essity Stadium in the Premier League on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT) to face GAP Connah S Quay FC. GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 38 points from 16 games (in the top four), while The New Saints sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for GAP Connah S Quay FC and 1.6 for The New Saints. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: GAP Connah S Quay FC 18%, draw 26%, The New Saints 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 The New Saints. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC18%fair 5.62 · @4.80
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.70
The New Saints56%fair 1.78 · @1.60
2.63Expected goals
1.01GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
1.61The New Saints xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.0 – 1.6 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
56%
1.78
1.60
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Barry Town
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
The New Saints – last 2
WW
20 Feb
vs Caernarfon Town
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Colwyn Bay
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and The New Saints.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and The New Saints 56%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
