The Premier League sees Barry Town take on Penybont on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Jenner Park. Barry Town are 7th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Penybont sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Barry Town and 1.4 for Penybont. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barry Town 49%, draw 24%, Penybont 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barry Town 1–1 Penybont. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barry Town49%fair 2.06 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
Penybont28%fair 3.63 · @4.33
2.84Expected goals
1.46Barry Town xG
1.39Penybont xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Barry Town 1.5 – 1.4 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barry Town to win✓
49%
2.06
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barry Town / FT Barry Town✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Barry Town – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Penybont – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Colwyn Bay
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barry Town and Penybont.
What is the prediction for Barry Town vs Penybont?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barry Town vs Penybont?
On our numbers Barry Town have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Penybont 28%.
How many goals will there be in Barry Town vs Penybont?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barry Town vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Barry Town 1–1 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Barry Town vs Penybont?
Barry Town vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Jenner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
