Value bet: Penybont to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Colwyn Bay take on Penybont on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Llanelian Road. Colwyn Bay are 4th with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Penybont sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Colwyn Bay and 1.2 for Penybont. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colwyn Bay 44%, draw 21%, Penybont 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Penybont to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Colwyn Bay 1–1 Penybont. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colwyn Bay44%fair 2.25 · @1.98
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
Penybont35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
2.67Expected goals
1.44Colwyn Bay xG
1.23Penybont xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 1.4 – 1.2 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✓
44%
2.25
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Colwyn Bay – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Penybont
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and Penybont.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Penybont 35%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 1–1 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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