Value bet: GAP Connah S Quay FC to win @ 1.88 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✗61% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC preview and prediction
The match
GAP Connah S Quay FC travel to Jenner Park in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February (15:30 WAT) to face Barry Town. Barry Town are 7th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Barry Town and 1.9 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barry Town 21%, draw 17%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: GAP Connah S Quay FC to win at 1.88 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barry Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barry Town21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @3.40
GAP Connah S Quay FC61%fair 1.63 · @1.88
2.78Expected goals
0.93Barry Town xG
1.85GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Barry Town 0.9 – 1.9 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✗
61%
1.63
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Barry Town
No recent results on record.
GAP Connah S Quay FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barry Town and GAP Connah S Quay FC.
What is the prediction for Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers Barry Town have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 61%.
How many goals will there be in Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is Barry Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Jenner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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