Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKeflavik to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri preview and prediction
The match
Thor Akureyri travel to face Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Friday 22 May (19:00 WAT). Keflavik are 6th with 30 points from 27 games, while Thor Akureyri sit 4th on 30 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Keflavik's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Stjarnan 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Thor Akureyri's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to IA Akranes 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Keflavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Keflavik and 1.2 for Thor Akureyri. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Keflavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keflavik60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.10
Thor Akureyri21%fair 4.78 · @3.80
3.44Expected goals
2.21Keflavik xG
1.23Thor Akureyri xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Keflavik 2.2 – 1.2 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Keflavik to win✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Half-time result
Keflavik ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Keflavik / FT Keflavik✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Form
Keflavik – last 6
DWDLWW
17 May
vs Stjarnan
1–1
D
8 May
@ IA Akranes
3–1
W
22 Apr
vs Breidablik
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Fram Reykjavik
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Ægir
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Thor Akureyri – last 6
LLLWLL
17 May
vs IA Akranes
1–2
L
8 May
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–6
L
27 Apr
@ Breidablik
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Fram Reykjavik
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–5
L
17 Mar
vs Fylkir
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and Thor Akureyri.
What is the prediction for Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Thor Akureyri 21%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
