KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees KA Akureyri take on Valur Reykjavik on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). KA Akureyri are 5th with 29 points from 27 games, while Valur Reykjavik sit 2nd on 34 points.
Form guide
KA Akureyri's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat FH hafnarfjordur 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Valur Reykjavik's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Breidablik 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Valur Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for KA Akureyri and 1.7 for Valur Reykjavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: KA Akureyri 40%, draw 21%, Valur Reykjavik 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: KA Akureyri 1–1 Valur Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KA Akureyri40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.00
Valur Reykjavik39%fair 2.57 · @2.60
3.48Expected goals
1.76KA Akureyri xG
1.72Valur Reykjavik xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: KA Akureyri 1.8 – 1.7 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KA Akureyri to win✗
40%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KA Akureyri / FT KA Akureyri✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Form
KA Akureyri – last 6
WLDLLW
17 May
@ FH hafnarfjordur
2–1
W
14 May
vs Ægir
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ IA Akranes
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Njardvik
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Valur Reykjavik – last 6
WLWWWL
17 May
vs Breidablik
3–2
W
8 May
@ Fram Reykjavik
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ Stjarnan
4–2
W
23 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KA Akureyri and Valur Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers KA Akureyri have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valur Reykjavik 39%.
How many goals will there be in KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is KA Akureyri 1–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
