Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: KR Reykjavik to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKR Reykjavik to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓78% · @1.20
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✓6% · fair 17.00
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
Stjarnan host KR Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Friday 8 May, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT). Stjarnan are 1st with 34 points from 27 games, while KR Reykjavik sit 2nd on 56 points. A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stjarnan's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Valur Reykjavik 2–4 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
KR Reykjavik's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat FH hafnarfjordur 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game.
KR Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 2.1 for Stjarnan and 3.4 for KR Reykjavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score in 78% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: KR Reykjavik to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Stjarnan 2–3 KR Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stjarnan20%fair 5.05 · @3.25
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @4.00
KR Reykjavik64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
5.50Expected goals
2.06Stjarnan xG
3.44KR Reykjavik xG
78%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–36%
1–36%
2–25%
2–45%
1–25%
1–45%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.1 – 3.4 KR Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KR Reykjavik to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
KR Reykjavik ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KR Reykjavik / FT KR Reykjavik✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✓
6%
17.00
–
Form
Stjarnan – last 5
LLWWW
27 Apr
vs Valur Reykjavik
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Selfoss
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Ægir
4–0
W
2.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
KR Reykjavik – last 5
WWWWL
27 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
4–2
W
23 Apr
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
6–2
W
17 Apr
vs Thor Akureyri
5–2
W
6 Apr
vs Valur Reykjavik
4–2
W
19 Feb
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–1
L
3.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and KR Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 17% and KR Reykjavik 64%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 78% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–3 KR Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
