Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: IA Akranes to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIA Akranes to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceIA Akranes or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
IA Akranes vs Keflavik preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees IA Akranes take on Keflavik on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). IA Akranes are 4th with 38 points from 27 games, while Keflavik sit 6th on 30 points.
Form guide
IA Akranes's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Vikingur Reykjavik 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Keflavik's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Breidablik 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Keflavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for IA Akranes and 1.0 for Keflavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IA Akranes 64%, draw 19%, Keflavik 17%.
Safer route: IA Akranes or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Value angle: IA Akranes to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IA Akranes or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: IA Akranes 2–1 Keflavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IA Akranes64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
Keflavik17%fair 5.96 · @3.90
3.20Expected goals
2.19IA Akranes xG
1.01Keflavik xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: IA Akranes 2.2 – 1.0 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IA Akranes to win✗
64%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
IA Akranes or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
IA Akranes ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IA Akranes / FT IA Akranes✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
IA Akranes – last 5
LDLWW
27 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–4
L
22 Apr
vs KA Akureyri
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Breidablik
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Haukar
4–0
W
26 Feb
vs Valur Reykjavik
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Keflavik – last 5
DLWWW
22 Apr
vs Breidablik
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Fram Reykjavik
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Ægir
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ Vestri
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IA Akranes and Keflavik.
What is the prediction for IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
Our pick is IA Akranes or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
On our numbers IA Akranes have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Keflavik 17%.
How many goals will there be in IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
Our predicted score is IA Akranes 2–1 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
IA Akranes vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
