Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
Stjarnan host Valur Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT). Stjarnan are 1st with 34 points from 27 games, while Valur Reykjavik sit 2nd on 34 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stjarnan's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Vikingur Reykjavik 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Valur Reykjavik's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat FH hafnarfjordur 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Stjarnan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.4 for Stjarnan and 1.6 for Valur Reykjavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stjarnan57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.80
Valur Reykjavik23%fair 4.27 · @3.30
4.00Expected goals
2.45Stjarnan xG
1.55Valur Reykjavik xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
2–05%
1–25%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.4 – 1.6 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stjarnan to win✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Stjarnan ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Stjarnan – last 4
LWWW
23 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Selfoss
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Ægir
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Valur Reykjavik – last 6
WWLLLW
23 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–4
L
10 Mar
@ Thor Akureyri
1–5
L
26 Feb
@ IA Akranes
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Afturelding
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and Valur Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valur Reykjavik 23%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
