Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBreidablik to win ✓68% · @1.45
Double chanceBreidablik or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees Breidablik take on Thor Akureyri on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). Breidablik are 5th with 36 points from 27 games, while Thor Akureyri sit 4th on 30 points.
Form guide
Breidablik's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Keflavik 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Thor Akureyri's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Fram Reykjavik 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Breidablik and 0.8 for Thor Akureyri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Breidablik to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Breidablik 2–0 Thor Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Breidablik68%fair 1.47 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.75
Thor Akureyri12%fair 8.01 · @5.00
2.97Expected goals
2.16Breidablik xG
0.81Thor Akureyri xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Breidablik 2.2 – 0.8 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Breidablik to win✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Double chance
Breidablik or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Half-time result
Breidablik ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Breidablik / FT Breidablik✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.39
–
Form
Breidablik – last 6
DWDLWL
22 Apr
@ Keflavik
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs IA Akranes
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Leiknir R.
2–3
L
19 Feb
vs FH hafnarfjordur
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Throttur Reykjavik
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Thor Akureyri – last 5
WLLWW
23 Apr
vs Fram Reykjavik
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–5
L
17 Mar
vs Fylkir
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Valur Reykjavik
5–1
W
25 Feb
@ Afturelding
5–0
W
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Breidablik and Thor Akureyri.
What is the prediction for Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Breidablik to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers Breidablik have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thor Akureyri 12%.
How many goals will there be in Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Breidablik 2–0 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri?
Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
