North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W preview and prediction
The match
North Carolina Courage W host Washington Spirit W in the NWSL Women on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at WakeMed Soccer Park. North Carolina Courage W are 9th with 45 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Washington Spirit W sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
North Carolina Courage W's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Seattle Reign FC W 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Washington Spirit W's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Houston Dash W 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for North Carolina Courage W and 1.4 for Washington Spirit W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: North Carolina Courage W 35%, draw 23%, Washington Spirit W 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Washington Spirit W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
North Carolina Courage W35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Washington Spirit W42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
2.67Expected goals
1.25North Carolina Courage W xG
1.42Washington Spirit W xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.3 – 1.4 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Washington Spirit W to win✓
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
North Carolina Courage W – last 6
WWWLLD
5 Jul
vs Seattle Reign FC W
3–1
W
1 Jun
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
16 May
vs Chicago Red Stars W
4–0
W
9 May
@ Orlando Pride W
0–1
L
2 May
vs Kansas City W
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Washington Spirit W – last 6
WWLWLW
4 Jul
vs Houston Dash W
2–1
W
30 May
vs Seattle Reign FC W
2–1
W
24 May
@ América W
3–5
L
21 May
vs Pachuca W
1–0
W
16 May
@ San Diego Wave W
1–2
L
11 May
@ Seattle Reign FC
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Washington Spirit W.
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Washington Spirit W 42%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W?
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
