Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBay FC W to win ✓40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W preview and prediction
The match
Racing Louisville W host Bay FC W in the NWSL Women on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Lynn Family Stadium. Racing Louisville W are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Bay FC W sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Racing Louisville W's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Portland Thorns W 0–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Bay FC W's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Boston Legacy W 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Racing Louisville W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Racing Louisville W and 1.5 for Bay FC W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Louisville W 38%, draw 22%, Bay FC W 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Racing Louisville W 1–1 Bay FC W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Louisville W38%fair 2.65 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Bay FC W40%fair 2.51 · @2.55
2.92Expected goals
1.43Racing Louisville W xG
1.48Bay FC W xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Racing Louisville W 1.4 – 1.5 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bay FC W to win✓
40%
2.51
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bay FC W / FT Bay FC W✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Racing Louisville W – last 6
LWWWLD
6 Jul
@ Portland Thorns W
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Toledo Villa W
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ Dayton Dutch Lions W
4–3
W
17 Jun
vs Dayton Dutch Lions W
2–1
W
11 Jun
@ Indy Eleven W
0–3
L
30 May
@ Dayton Dutch Lions W
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bay FC W – last 6
DLLLDW
5 Jul
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
30 May
@ Orlando Pride W
1–3
L
24 May
vs Chicago Red Stars W
0–1
L
21 May
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
16 May
vs Boston Legacy W
1–1
D
4 May
@ San Diego Wave W
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W.
What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
On our numbers Racing Louisville W have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bay FC W 40%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
Our predicted score is Racing Louisville W 1–1 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?
Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
