Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees Houston Dash W take on San Diego Wave W on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Shell Energy Stadium. Houston Dash W are 12th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while San Diego Wave W sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Houston Dash W's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Kansas City W 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
San Diego Wave W's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Washington Spirit W 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
San Diego Wave W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished San Diego Wave W 0–1 Houston Dash W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Houston Dash W and 1.6 for San Diego Wave W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Houston Dash W 19%, draw 25%, San Diego Wave W 56%.
Safer route: San Diego Wave W or draw (81%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Houston Dash W 1–1 San Diego Wave W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Houston Dash W19%fair 5.14 · @4.40
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.65
San Diego Wave W56%fair 1.80 · @1.67
2.61Expected goals
1.01Houston Dash W xG
1.60San Diego Wave W xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Houston Dash W 1.0 – 1.6 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Houston Dash W
San Diego Wave W
Attack vs NWSL Women average
-11%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.05
1.42
Our own ratings from every NWSL Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?
On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Diego Wave W 56%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our predicted score is Houston Dash W 1–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W?
Houston Dash W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
