ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✓72% · @1.36
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees North Carolina Courage W take on Chicago Red Stars W on Saturday 16 May, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at WakeMed Soccer Park. North Carolina Courage W are 9th with 45 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Chicago Red Stars W sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
North Carolina Courage W's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Orlando Pride W 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to NJNY Gotham FC W 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for North Carolina Courage W and 0.5 for Chicago Red Stars W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: North Carolina Courage W 72%, draw 19%, Chicago Red Stars W 10%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was North Carolina Courage W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
North Carolina Courage W72%fair 1.40 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @4.20
Chicago Red Stars W10%fair 10.18 · @7.00
2.47Expected goals
1.94North Carolina Courage W xG
0.53Chicago Red Stars W xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.9 – 0.5 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Carolina Courage W to win✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Double chance
North Carolina Courage W or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
North Carolina Courage W ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
North Carolina Courage W – last 6
LLDWDL
9 May
@ Orlando Pride W
0–1
L
2 May
vs Kansas City W
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Houston Dash W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Portland Thorns W
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Bay FC
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LWLLLL
30 Apr
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Boston Legacy W
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Utah Royals W
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Orlando Pride W
0–3
L
16 Mar
@ Angel City W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Chicago Red Stars W.
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our pick is North Carolina Courage W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chicago Red Stars W 10%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.