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NWSL Women · USA · WakeMed Soccer Park

North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

North Carolina Courage W to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✓72% · @1.36
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11

North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W preview and prediction

The match

The NWSL Women sees North Carolina Courage W take on Chicago Red Stars W on Saturday 16 May, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at WakeMed Soccer Park. North Carolina Courage W are 9th with 45 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Chicago Red Stars W sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

North Carolina Courage W's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Orlando Pride W 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to NJNY Gotham FC W 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for North Carolina Courage W and 0.5 for Chicago Red Stars W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was North Carolina Courage W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

North Carolina Courage W72%fair 1.40 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @4.20
Chicago Red Stars W10%fair 10.18 · @7.00
2.47Expected goals
1.94North Carolina Courage W xG
0.53Chicago Red Stars W xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.9 – 0.5 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✓72%1.401.36
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Half-time resultNorth Carolina Courage W ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W ✗46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.11–

Form

North Carolina Courage W – last 6

LLDWDL
9 May@ Orlando Pride W0–1L
2 Mayvs Kansas City W1–2L
30 Apr@ Boston Legacy W2–2D
26 Apr@ Houston Dash W1–0W
4 Aprvs Portland Thorns W2–2D
29 Marvs Bay FC1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chicago Red Stars W – last 6

LWLLLL
30 Aprvs NJNY Gotham FC W0–2L
25 Aprvs Boston Legacy W2–0W
4 Apr@ Utah Royals W0–1L
29 Mar@ San Diego Wave W0–2L
26 Marvs Orlando Pride W0–3L
16 Mar@ Angel City W0–4L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Chicago Red Stars W.

North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

Our pick is North Carolina Courage W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chicago Red Stars W 10%.

How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.