San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W preview and prediction
The match
San Diego Wave W host Washington Spirit W in the NWSL Women on Saturday 16 May, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego Wave W are 2nd with 58 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Washington Spirit W sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Diego Wave W's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Angel City W 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Washington Spirit W's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Seattle Reign FC 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for San Diego Wave W and 1.3 for Washington Spirit W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Diego Wave W 32%, draw 23%, Washington Spirit W 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: San Diego Wave W 1–1 Washington Spirit W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Diego Wave W32%fair 3.13 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @2.90
Washington Spirit W45%fair 2.20 · @2.30
2.39Expected goals
1.06San Diego Wave W xG
1.33Washington Spirit W xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: San Diego Wave W 1.1 – 1.3 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Washington Spirit W to win✗
45%
2.20
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
San Diego Wave W – last 6
WLLWWW
10 May
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
4 May
vs Bay FC
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Denver Summit W
3–2
W
4 Apr
@ Boston Legacy W
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Chicago Red Stars W
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Washington Spirit W – last 6
WWWDDL
11 May
@ Seattle Reign FC
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Racing Louisville W
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Kansas City W
4–0
W
26 Mar
vs Utah Royals W
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Racing Louisville W
2–2
D
14 Mar
vs Portland Thorns W
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Diego Wave W and Washington Spirit W.
What is the prediction for San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W?
On our numbers San Diego Wave W have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Washington Spirit W 45%.
How many goals will there be in San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our predicted score is San Diego Wave W 1–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W?
San Diego Wave W vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
