Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W preview and prediction
The match
Portland Thorns W host San Diego Wave W in the NWSL Women on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Providence Park. Portland Thorns W are 6th with 50 points from 30 games (in the top half), while San Diego Wave W sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Portland Thorns W's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Angel City W 2–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Diego Wave W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Denver Summit W 3–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
San Diego Wave W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 March 2026, finished San Diego Wave W 3–1 Portland Thorns W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Portland Thorns W and 1.5 for San Diego Wave W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Thorns W 33%, draw 21%, San Diego Wave W 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Portland Thorns W 1–1 San Diego Wave W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Thorns W33%fair 3.01 · @2.85
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
San Diego Wave W46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
2.71Expected goals
1.22Portland Thorns W xG
1.49San Diego Wave W xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.2 – 1.5 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Diego Wave W 46%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–1 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W?
Portland Thorns W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
