Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Washington Spirit W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWashington Spirit W to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W preview and prediction
The match
Washington Spirit W host Racing Louisville W in the NWSL Women on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Audi Field. Washington Spirit W are 3rd with 55 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Racing Louisville W sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Washington Spirit W's last 4: WDDL Most recently they beat Kansas City W 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Racing Louisville W's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Houston Dash W 3–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Washington Spirit W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Racing Louisville W 2–2 Washington Spirit W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Washington Spirit W and 0.9 for Racing Louisville W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Washington Spirit W 65%, draw 23%, Racing Louisville W 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Washington Spirit W to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Washington Spirit W 2–0 Racing Louisville W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Washington Spirit W65%fair 1.54 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.95
Racing Louisville W12%fair 8.42 · @5.00
3.09Expected goals
2.20Washington Spirit W xG
0.89Racing Louisville W xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Washington Spirit W 2.2 – 0.9 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our pick is Washington Spirit W to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W?
On our numbers Washington Spirit W have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Racing Louisville W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our predicted score is Washington Spirit W 2–0 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W?
Washington Spirit W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.