Value bet: San Diego Wave W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.71
San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W preview and prediction
The match
San Diego Wave W host Portland Thorns W in the NWSL Women on Thursday 26 March, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego Wave W are 2nd with 58 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Portland Thorns W sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for San Diego Wave W and 0.6 for Portland Thorns W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Diego Wave W 61%, draw 25%, Portland Thorns W 14%.
Safer route: San Diego Wave W or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: San Diego Wave W to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: San Diego Wave W 1–0 Portland Thorns W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Diego Wave W61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.35
Portland Thorns W14%fair 7.13 · @3.80
2.21Expected goals
1.60San Diego Wave W xG
0.61Portland Thorns W xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: San Diego Wave W 1.6 – 0.6 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Diego Wave W to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
San Diego Wave W or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.71
–
Form
San Diego Wave W – last 2
WL
23 Mar
@ Utah Royals W
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Houston Dash W
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portland Thorns W – last 2
WW
21 Mar
vs Seattle Reign FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Diego Wave W and Portland Thorns W.
What is the prediction for San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers San Diego Wave W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portland Thorns W 14%.
How many goals will there be in San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is San Diego Wave W 1–0 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W?
San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
