Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNJNY Gotham FC W to win ✗68% · @1.33
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw ✗89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.07
NJNY Gotham FC W vs Denver Summit W preview and prediction
The match
NJNY Gotham FC W host Denver Summit W in the NWSL Women on Thursday 26 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium. NJNY Gotham FC W are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Denver Summit W sit 10th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.7 for NJNY Gotham FC W and 0.5 for Denver Summit W. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: NJNY Gotham FC W 68%, draw 21%, Denver Summit W 11%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NJNY Gotham FC W 1–0 Denver Summit W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NJNY Gotham FC W68%fair 1.47 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.33
Denver Summit W11%fair 9.28 · @8.75
2.14Expected goals
1.67NJNY Gotham FC W xG
0.46Denver Summit W xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: NJNY Gotham FC W 1.7 – 0.5 Denver Summit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NJNY Gotham FC W to win✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Double chance
NJNY Gotham FC W or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Half-time result
NJNY Gotham FC W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NJNY Gotham FC W / FT NJNY Gotham FC W✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.07
–
Form
NJNY Gotham FC W – last 1
D
21 Mar
vs North Carolina Courage W
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Denver Summit W – last 2
DL
21 Mar
@ Orlando Pride W
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Bay FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NJNY Gotham FC W and Denver Summit W.
What is the prediction for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Denver Summit W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win NJNY Gotham FC W vs Denver Summit W?
On our numbers NJNY Gotham FC W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Denver Summit W 11%.
How many goals will there be in NJNY Gotham FC W vs Denver Summit W?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Denver Summit W?
Our predicted score is NJNY Gotham FC W 1–0 Denver Summit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is NJNY Gotham FC W vs Denver Summit W?
NJNY Gotham FC W vs Denver Summit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
