Value bet: Portland Thorns W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortland Thorns W to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chancePortland Thorns W or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Portland Thorns W vs Seattle Reign FC preview and prediction
The match
Seattle Reign FC travel to Providence Park in the NWSL Women on Saturday 21 March (03:00 WAT) to face Portland Thorns W. Portland Thorns W are 6th with 50 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Seattle Reign FC sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Portland Thorns W and 0.6 for Seattle Reign FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Thorns W 61%, draw 23%, Seattle Reign FC 16%.
Safer route: Portland Thorns W or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Portland Thorns W to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Portland Thorns W 1–0 Seattle Reign FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Thorns W61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Seattle Reign FC16%fair 6.39 · @3.90
2.24Expected goals
1.60Portland Thorns W xG
0.64Seattle Reign FC xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.6 – 0.6 Seattle Reign FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win✓
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Portland Thorns W or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.89
–
Form
Portland Thorns W – last 1
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Seattle Reign FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Seattle Reign FC.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Seattle Reign FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Seattle Reign FC?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Seattle Reign FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Seattle Reign FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Seattle Reign FC?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–0 Seattle Reign FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Seattle Reign FC?
Portland Thorns W vs Seattle Reign FC (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
