Value bet: Washington Spirit W to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWashington Spirit W to win ✗53% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W preview and prediction
The match
Washington Spirit W travel to Lynn Family Stadium in the NWSL Women on Saturday 21 March (01:00 WAT) to face Racing Louisville W. Racing Louisville W are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Washington Spirit W sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Racing Louisville W and 1.4 for Washington Spirit W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Louisville W 26%, draw 21%, Washington Spirit W 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Washington Spirit W to win at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Racing Louisville W 0–1 Washington Spirit W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Louisville W26%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Washington Spirit W53%fair 1.87 · @2.05
2.29Expected goals
0.86Racing Louisville W xG
1.43Washington Spirit W xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–112%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Racing Louisville W 0.9 – 1.4 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Washington Spirit W to win✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.23
–
Form
Racing Louisville W – last 1
L
15 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Washington Spirit W – last 1
L
14 Mar
vs Portland Thorns W
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Louisville W and Washington Spirit W.
What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W?
On our numbers Racing Louisville W have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Washington Spirit W 53%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our predicted score is Racing Louisville W 0–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W?
Racing Louisville W vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
