Naxxar Lions travel to Tony Bezzina Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 8 March (16:30 WAT) to face Marsaxlokk.
Form guide
Marsaxlokk's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Hamrun Spartans 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Naxxar Lions's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Zurrieq 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Naxxar Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Marsaxlokk and 0.9 for Naxxar Lions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Marsaxlokk 1–1 Naxxar Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marsaxlokk57%fair 1.74 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.55
Naxxar Lions18%fair 5.54 · @3.95
2.66Expected goals
1.77Marsaxlokk xG
0.89Naxxar Lions xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Marsaxlokk 1.8 – 0.9 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marsaxlokk to win✗
57%
1.74
1.77
Double chance
Marsaxlokk or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Marsaxlokk ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marsaxlokk / FT Marsaxlokk✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Marsaxlokk – last 3
LDW
23 Feb
@ Hamrun Spartans
0–2
L
18 Feb
@ Floriana
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Hibernians
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 4
DDWW
4 Mar
@ Zurrieq
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Tarxien Rainbows
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Gzira United
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marsaxlokk and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Marsaxlokk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naxxar Lions 18%.
How many goals will there be in Marsaxlokk vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marsaxlokk vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Marsaxlokk 1–1 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Marsaxlokk vs Naxxar Lions?
Marsaxlokk vs Naxxar Lions (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarxien Rainbows1