Naxxar Lions host Birkirkara in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Centenary Stadium.
Form guide
Birkirkara's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Pietà Hotspurs 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Naxxar Lions and 1.4 for Birkirkara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Naxxar Lions 1–1 Birkirkara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naxxar Lions37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Birkirkara39%fair 2.57 · @2.38
2.74Expected goals
1.35Naxxar Lions xG
1.39Birkirkara xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Naxxar Lions 1.4 – 1.4 Birkirkara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birkirkara to win✗
39%
2.57
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birkirkara / FT Birkirkara✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Form
Naxxar Lions – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Tarxien Rainbows
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Gzira United
4–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Birkirkara – last 3
WLD
25 Feb
vs Pietà Hotspurs
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naxxar Lions and Birkirkara.
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
On our numbers Naxxar Lions have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Birkirkara 39%.
How many goals will there be in Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
Our predicted score is Naxxar Lions 1–1 Birkirkara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara?
Naxxar Lions vs Birkirkara (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
