Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana preview and prediction
The match
Hamrun Spartans host Floriana in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18 points from 12 games, while Floriana sit 6th on 16 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hamrun Spartans's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Marsaxlokk 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Floriana's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Hibernians 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Hamrun Spartans and 0.7 for Floriana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Hamrun Spartans or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hamrun Spartans to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Floriana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamrun Spartans61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @2.95
Floriana16%fair 6.16 · @3.90
2.24Expected goals
1.59Hamrun Spartans xG
0.65Floriana xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.6 – 0.7 Floriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Hamrun Spartans or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.93
–
Form
Hamrun Spartans – last 3
WWD
23 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Hibernians
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Floriana – last 3
WDW
22 Feb
vs Hibernians
4–1
W
18 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Tarxien Rainbows
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Floriana.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Our pick is Hamrun Spartans to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Floriana 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Floriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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