Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Hibernians take on Hamrun Spartans on Wednesday 18 February, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Hibernians are 4th with 19 points from 12 games, while Hamrun Spartans sit 5th on 18 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Hibernians and 1.9 for Hamrun Spartans. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Hibernians 0–2 Hamrun Spartans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hibernians13%fair 7.95 · @6.00
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.90
Hamrun Spartans65%fair 1.54 · @1.48
2.64Expected goals
0.72Hibernians xG
1.92Hamrun Spartans xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hibernians 0.7 – 1.9 Hamrun Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Double chance
Hamrun Spartans or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Hamrun Spartans ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.32
–
Form
Hibernians – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Marsaxlokk
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hamrun Spartans – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hibernians and Hamrun Spartans.
What is the prediction for Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
On our numbers Hibernians have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hamrun Spartans 65%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
Our predicted score is Hibernians 0–2 Hamrun Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarxien Rainbows1