The Premier League sees Floriana take on Marsaxlokk on Wednesday 18 February, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Victor Tedesco Stadium. Floriana are 6th with 16 points from 12 games, while Marsaxlokk sit 2nd on 21 points.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Floriana and 1.0 for Marsaxlokk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Floriana 1–1 Marsaxlokk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floriana47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Marsaxlokk30%fair 3.28 · @3.45
2.39Expected goals
1.37Floriana xG
1.02Marsaxlokk xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Floriana 1.4 – 1.0 Marsaxlokk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floriana to win✗
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floriana / FT Floriana✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Floriana – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Tarxien Rainbows
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Marsaxlokk – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Hibernians
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floriana and Marsaxlokk.
What is the prediction for Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
On our numbers Floriana have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marsaxlokk 30%.
How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Our predicted score is Floriana 1–1 Marsaxlokk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Floriana vs Marsaxlokk (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Victor Tedesco Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarxien Rainbows1