Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIrao to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceIrao or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Irao vs Gonio preview and prediction
The match
Irao host Gonio in the Liga 3 on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Grigol Jomartidze Stadium. Irao are 9th with 36 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Gonio sit 4th on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Irao's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Saburtalo II 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Gonio's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat WIT Georgia 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Irao and 0.8 for Gonio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Irao 62%, draw 23%, Gonio 15%.
Safer route: Irao or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Irao to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Irao 1–0 Gonio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irao62%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.75
Gonio15%fair 6.60 · @3.80
2.68Expected goals
1.87Irao xG
0.82Gonio xG
46%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Irao 1.9 – 0.8 Gonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irao to win✓
62%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Irao or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Irao ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irao / FT Irao✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Irao – last 6
LWWWLW
29 Apr
@ Saburtalo II
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Iveria Khashuri
3–2
W
9 Apr
vs Iberia 2010
4–0
W
2 Apr
@ Kolkheti Khobi
0–1
L
25 Mar
vs Margveti 2006
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gonio – last 6
WDLDWW
29 Apr
vs WIT Georgia
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Varketili
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Guria
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Saburtalo II
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Iveria Khashuri
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irao and Gonio.
Our pick is Irao to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Irao vs Gonio?
On our numbers Irao have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gonio 15%.
How many goals will there be in Irao vs Gonio?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irao vs Gonio?
Our predicted score is Irao 1–0 Gonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Irao vs Gonio?
Irao vs Gonio (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Grigol Jomartidze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
